China Declares War on Real Estate

REAL ESTATE NEWS

Xi Jinping is responsible for popping China’s real estate bubble, according to the Wall Street Journal. In the communist nation, the dictator must preserve authority by accepting responsibility, while saving face by citing the need to moderate the “wild growth of capital”. The real reason for China’s real estate crash is its hidden economic recession caused by global virus hysteria, lockdown, travel bans, over-speculation, tofu dreg construction, extreme pollution and poisoned water supply, capital controls, communist caprice, inflation, electric power shortages, cooked books, hidden debt, business downsizing and cost-cutting, including layoffs. Some properties have recently lost more than 75% of their value.

The paper tiger’s ghost economy has already affected Downtown Los Angeles recently by partially funding the zombie development called OceanWide Plaza, then stalling, and stalling, and stalling — for years. Oceanwide L.A.’s debt has grown to $2.3 billion, as capital from China has continued to get more arid. Creditors just took over one downtown San Francisco property from China Oceanwide Holding Company. Oceanwide had planned to build a two-tower hotel, office, and residential project at 50 First Street, but now there is only a gaping hole in the ground. The company also has troubled projects in New York and Hawaii. | VIDEO

Even an orderly unwinding of the highly indebted property sector carries under-appreciated risks to foreign investors. The long-anticipated default of China’s most indebted property developer finally came true last week. Evergrande Group will have to restructure some of its $300 billion in liabilities, of which $19 billion are international bonds, according to National Review. Evergrande is the most notable in a rapidly expanding snowball of sliding real estate companies that include Fantasia, Sinic, R&F, Modern Land, Shimao, OceanWide and many others.

Will California be next to demolish unfinished “ghost buildings” like China has done?

The price of the average Downtown LA condo has jumped dramatically in the last two months, largely due to the long-term real estate cycle revealing historically low Downtown home prices, a rarity in this new era of inflation.

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Copyright © This free information provided courtesy L.A. Loft Blog with information provided by Corey Chambers, Realty Source Inc, DRE 01889449; MPR Funding Inc NMLS 2000513. We are not associated with the seller, homeowner’s association or developer. For more information, contact 213-880-9910 or visit LALoftBlog.com Licensed in California. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. Properties subject to prior sale or rental. This is not a solicitation if buyer or seller is already under contract with another broker.

Home Prices to Continue Rise at Slowing Pace in 2022

Looking ahead to 2022, where will home prices go?

REAL ESTATE NEWS

Demand for new homes has grown, driving up home prices up to 18% over the last few years. It’s been years since home prices have increased that much. The current expectation is that home prices will continue to rise, but at a much slower pace. Somewhere between 2% and 12% for the coming year, 2022, is what national lenders are projecting. With a ten percent swing in projections, it’s clear there is not a consensus of what the rate of U.S. home price growth will look like in 2022. When discussing home prices, remember that local and national markets and prices vary substantially. Inner city real estate often does the exact opposite of suburban or rural real estate. When the safest suburban neighborhoods shot up during the virus hysteria, urban home prices dropped. Take a look at what the Downtown Los Angeles real estate market is doing recently in the November DTLA Real Estate Market Report.

There’s a consensus in the real estate industry that price growth will continue to decelerate as the current growth rate simply isn’t sustainable long term. One school of thought says that interest rates will start moving back up, which will cool demand for homes. Since rates can’t go much lower, that seems like a safe bet, according to Fortune Magazine. With an expected reduction in demand due to the higher interest rates, inflation caused by fed spending and radical Federal Reserve money printing may be the only forces keeping home prices from falling. Nobody can predict how long this stagflation will last before the inevitable economic recession of the Greater Depression of the 2020s occurs. #entarispowerful #homeprices2022. Share your experience buying or selling your home here.

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Where will the housing market go next year?

Copyright © This free information provided courtesy L.A. Loft Blog with the information provided by Corey Chambers, Realty Source Inc, DRE 01889449; MPR Funding Inc NMLS 2000513. We are not associated with the seller, homeowner’s association, or developer. For more information, contact 213-880-9910 or visit LALoftBlog.com, Licensed in California. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. Properties are subject to prior sale or rental. This is not a solicitation if the buyer or seller is already under contract with another broker. | COMMENT